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Abstract Extensive vertical deformation (>4.5 m) observed at Sierra Negra volcano Galápagos, Ecuador, between 1992 and the 2005 eruption led scientists to hypothesize that repeated faulting events relieved magma chamber overpressure and prevented eruption. To better understand the catalyst of the 2005 eruption, thermomechanical models are used to track the stress state and stability of the magma storage system during the 1992–2005 inflation events. Numerical experiments indicate that the host rock surrounding the Sierra Negra reservoir remained in compression with minimal changes in overpressure (~10 MPa) leading up to the 2005 eruption. The lack of tensile failure and minimal overpressure accumulation likely inhibited dike initiation and accommodated the significant inflation without the need for pressure relief through shallow trapdoor faulting events. The models indicate that static stress transfer due to the Mw5.4 earthquake 3 hr prior to the eruption most likely triggered tensile failure and catalyzed the 2005 eruption.more » « less
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